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Sub-Saharan Africa :The proportion of low-income countries drops from 75% in 1987 to 45% in 2024

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The World Bank's 2026 classification, based on 2024 gross national income per capita, highlights a major progress in Sub-Saharan Africa, the proportion of low-income countries has dropped from 75% in 1987 to 45% in 2024

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 This dynamic reflects sustained growth, increased global integration, and, in 2026, a decrease in classification thresholds due to the appreciation of the US dollar, adjusted via the Special Drawing Rights  deflator. This reduction in thresholds facilitates the transition to higher income categories but exposes export-oriented economies to exchange rate fluctuations. For CEMAC countries , (Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Republic of Congo), this model suggests opportunities in tourism, such as Gabon's natural sites or Cameroon's beaches. Investors can target sustainable infrastructure while monitoring climate risks, a key issue for the region.This decline resonates with CEMAC countries, where Equatorial Guinea and Gabon are oil-dependent. While the decrease in thresholds is advantageous, it increases vulnerability to commodity shocks and exchange rate fluctuations. Diversifying into agro-industry or renewable energy and ensuring reliable demographic data are priorities.The decrease in income thresholds in 2026 offers CEMAC an opportunity to progress in the classification, provided it adopts reforms.  Strengthening trade corridors, such as between Cameroon and Chad, and investing in non-oil sectors like agriculture can stimulate growth. Investors, attracted by more accessible thresholds, must assess political and climate risks. The World Bank's income per capita classification is an opportunity for CEMAC


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christelle
JESSICA CHRISTELLE KOAMBI
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